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Kalshi
Event contracts, explained

Trade what happens next, not just what it's worth.

Trade event contracts on politics, sports, financial markets, weather, entertainment, and more with Kalshi. Buy and sell Yes or No contracts based on real-world outcomes through a federally regulated prediction market platform designed for transparent pricing, defined risk, and a seamless trading experience.

18+. Trading event contracts involves real risk of loss. This page contains affiliate links - see our disclosure below.

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Why trust this guide

We test the claims before we make them

Prediction markets attract a lot of hype. Here's how we keep this page honest.

Checked against primary sources

Regulatory status, fees, and market rules are verified against Kalshi's own disclosures and CFTC filings, not secondhand summaries.

Risk stated up front

We lead with the CFTC's own loss statistics rather than burying them in the fine print at the bottom of the page.

Clear affiliate labeling

Every link that pays us a commission is marked as such. Nothing is disguised as neutral editorial.

Updated as rules change

Prediction-market regulation is moving fast at the state level. We revisit this page as the legal picture shifts.

What's on the board

Six kinds of markets, one exchange

Every contract settles yes or no against a clear, published rule no point spreads to interpret, no fine print about "covering."

Politics & policy

Legislation, confirmations, and election outcomes, priced by the market in real time.

Economy & the Fed

CPI prints, rate decisions, GDP, and recession odds hedge your portfolio or trade your view.

Sports

Game outcomes, totals, and player props across football, basketball, baseball, and more.

World Cup 2026

Kalshi is an official prediction market partner of the tournament trade match and tournament futures.

Weather & climate

Daily city temperatures, hurricane strength, and named-storm counts, settled against public data.

Culture & awards

Box office, awards-show winners, and internet-native events, from premieres to milestones.

Getting started

Three steps, no trading floor experience needed

01

Open an account

Sign up and verify your identity - Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange, so it collects the same information any brokerage would.

02

Fund it

Deposit only what you're prepared to lose. There's no minimum balance required to explore the markets.

03

Buy yes or no

Pick a contract, buy the side you think is underpriced, and hold to settlement or sell anytime before then.

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Will it rain in Chicago on Saturday?
Yes
71¢
No
29¢
The mechanics

One contract, one dollar, one outcome

  • Contracts trade between 1¢ and 99¢, reflecting the market's live estimate of the odds.
  • If the event happens, "yes" shares settle at $1 and "no" shares settle at $0 and vice versa.
  • You can hold to settlement or exit early by selling into the market at the current price.
  • Every market has a plain-language rulebook that spells out exactly how it resolves.
Why traders use it

What sets an exchange apart from a sportsbook

Federally regulated

Kalshi is a CFTC-registered Designated Contract Market, with trades cleared through its affiliate clearinghouse.

Markets around the clock

No opening bell. Trade financial, sports, and weather contracts whenever the market's open, not just 9:30 to 4.

Transparent pricing

The price of a contract is the market's own probability estimate no hidden vig baked into the line.

Defined, capped risk

The most a contract can cost you is what you pay for it there's no margin call chasing you afterward.

Built for developers too

A public API and historical data let you build and backtest your own strategies, not just click a buy button.

Built-in guardrails

Optional trading breaks, funding caps, and self-exclusion tools are available directly in account settings.

How it stacks up

Kalshi vs. Polymarket vs. a traditional sportsbook

A quick side-by-side on the things that actually change your experience as a trader.

Feature Kalshi Polymarket Sportsbook
US regulator CFTC-registered Offshore exchange State gaming boards
Funding currency USD Crypto / stablecoin USD
Pricing model Open order book, 1¢–99¢ Open order book, 1¢–99¢ Fixed odds set by the book
Exit before settlement Sell anytime Sell anytime Usually locked in
Political & economic markets Not offered
Available in all 50 states Varies by state Restricted in the US Varies by state
Developer API Rarely public

Comparison reflects publicly available product and regulatory information as of mid-2026 and can change as rules and offerings evolve. Confirm current details on each platform before trading.

The honest take

Pros and cons

No exchange is a fit for everyone. Here's the balanced version.

Pros

  • Federally regulated exchange structure, with clear, published settlement rules per market.
  • You can exit a position early instead of being locked in until an event ends.
  • Capped, defined risk you can never lose more than you paid for a contract.
  • Markets span far beyond sports, including economic data, weather, and policy.
  • Built-in tools like funding caps and trading breaks for people who want guardrails.

Cons

  • Most accounts are net unprofitable over time, by Kalshi's own reported figures.
  • Legal status for certain contract types, especially sports, is still being contested state by state.
  • Sports markets now dominate activity, which can blur the line with straightforward betting.
  • Fast-moving markets can be thin outside major events, widening the gap between yes and no prices.
  • Regulatory and product changes have been frequent, so terms can shift with little notice.
Who trades here

Three common ways people use event contracts

These are illustrative use cases, not individual endorsements or guaranteed outcomes.

Hedger

Holds equities and buys "recession" or rate-decision contracts as a small offset against portfolio swings around major economic releases.

Forecaster

Follows a specific field closely policy, weather, or a sport and trades when they believe the market price is out of step with the evidence.

Sports fan

Watches games regardless, and trades small, capped-risk positions on outcomes and totals as part of following the season.

Read this before you fund an account

Trading event contracts carries real risk

Kalshi is a regulated exchange, not a savings product. Keep the following in mind:

  • You can lose the full amount you put into any contract. Only trade money you can afford to lose.
  • Kalshi reports that a majority of accounts are net unprofitable over time most traders do not come out ahead.
  • Availability varies by state; some states restrict or prohibit certain contract types, including sports markets.
  • You must be 18 or older to open an account.
  • This page is general information, not financial, legal, or betting advice do your own research before trading.
Questions

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction market exchange where users trade event contracts based on the outcome of real-world events. Markets cover topics such as economics, politics, weather, sports, and other public events.

How does Kalshi work?

Each market consists of "Yes" and "No" contracts priced between 1¢ and 99¢. If your prediction is correct when the market settles, the winning contract pays $1. You can also buy or sell contracts before settlement if market prices change.

Is Kalshi legal in the United States?

Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. However, access to certain markets may vary because some states have challenged specific contract types, particularly sports-related markets.

Do I need trading experience to use Kalshi?

No. Beginners can open an account and trade event contracts. However, it's important to understand settlement rules, market pricing, and the risks involved before placing your first trade.

What kinds of markets are available?

Kalshi offers markets on economic indicators, Federal Reserve decisions, elections, weather events, sports, entertainment, and many other real-world topics. Available markets change regularly throughout the year.

Can I lose more money than I invest?

No. Event contracts have defined risk. The maximum amount you can lose on a position is generally the amount you paid to purchase the contract.

Can I sell a contract before it settles?

Yes. If there is available market liquidity, you can sell your position before settlement instead of waiting for the event to conclude.

Is there a minimum deposit required?

Kalshi does not generally require a minimum account balance to begin exploring the platform. Individual contracts may cost only a few cents, allowing users to start with relatively small positions.

Is this website affiliated with Kalshi?

No. This website is an independent informational guide and is not operated, endorsed, or sponsored by Kalshi, Inc. Some links may be affiliate links, which means we may receive a commission if you sign up through them at no additional cost to you.

What should I know before trading?

Prediction markets involve financial risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Always read each market's settlement rules, understand the potential risks, trade responsibly, and only use funds you can afford to lose.

Ready to see the board for yourself?

Create a Kalshi account to browse live markets. No pressure to fund it until a contract actually catches your eye.

Open a Kalshi account →